Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Nosek 53.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Horvat
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Nosek
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Horvat
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
55.1% (557)
+0.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
50.0% (4)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
47.7% (111)
+1.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nosek
Home
58.8% (724)
52.3% (342)
Away
55.3% (751)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Horvat
Nosek
P1
57.0%
49.0%
P2
57.5%
53.8%
P3
57.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |