Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Horvat
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Horvat
Nosek
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
3
Horvat
Nosek
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Horvat
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
54.9% (2,674)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
44.7% (47)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
47.4% (424)
-0.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nosek
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Horvat
Nosek
P1
54.1%
52.3%
P2
54.4%
54.0%
P3
55.0%
54.6%
OT
49.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |