Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +25.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Zegras 35.4% (+25.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Horvat
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Horvat
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
29.6% (230)
+25.7%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
32.1% (56)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
100.0% (1)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zegras
Home
58.2% (469)
30.6% (147)
Away
54.0% (544)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Horvat
Zegras
P1
59.6%
33.0%
P2
53.1%
31.7%
P3
55.5%
25.6%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |