Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Zegras 41.5% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 79.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 50.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 73.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Horvat
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Zegras
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
Horvat
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
39.4% (510)
+16.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
47.1% (34)
+18.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zegras
Home
58.8% (724)
42.3% (272)
Away
55.3% (751)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Horvat
Zegras
P1
57.0%
37.6%
P2
57.5%
41.5%
P3
57.0%
40.8%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |