Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Zegras 42.6% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 93.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 90.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Horvat
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Zegras
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
41.1% (559)
+13.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.0% (12)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.0% (2)
+2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zegras
Home
59.8% (853)
45.7% (247)
Away
53.8% (832)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Horvat
Zegras
P1
55.0%
45.5%
P2
58.3%
36.8%
P3
57.8%
41.1%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |