Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Horvat
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
7
(27 meetings)
20
7
Horvat
Johnson
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
6
Horvat
Johnson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
54.6% (885)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
42.3% (707)
+4.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johnson
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Horvat
Johnson
P1
54.1%
50.1%
P2
54.4%
50.6%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |