Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Johnson 53.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Horvat
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
61.9% (42)
-6.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
55.6% (9)
+9.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johnson
Home
58.8% (724)
52.0% (25)
Away
55.3% (751)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Horvat
Johnson
P1
57.0%
72.0%
P2
57.5%
66.7%
P3
57.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |