Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Seguin
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Horvat
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
56.9% (478)
-3.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.4% (54)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
51.3% (76)
+0.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
54.2% (714)
57.4% (317)
Away
53.6% (705)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
53.5%
50.3%
P2
56.3%
60.4%
P3
53.5%
58.0%
OT
28.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |