Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Seguin 51.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 68.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Horvat
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
54.8% (135)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
58.3% (24)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
26.7% (15)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
59.2% (684)
47.4% (95)
Away
57.0% (635)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
57.9%
50.8%
P2
55.4%
57.1%
P3
61.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |