Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.7%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Horvat
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Horvat
Trocheck
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
8
Horvat
Trocheck
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
Horvat
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
57.7% (608)
-2.5%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
64.0% (150)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
44.1% (136)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Horvat is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Horvat shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Horvat
Trocheck
Home
58.1% (449)
54.4% (366)
Away
54.0% (544)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Horvat
Trocheck
P1
59.2%
56.0%
P2
53.1%
58.6%
P3
55.8%
55.3%
OT
55.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |