Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Horvat
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Horvat
Trocheck
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Horvat
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
59.6% (1,032)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
62.1% (253)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
55.4% (249)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Horvat
Trocheck
Home
59.2% (684)
61.7% (786)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Horvat
Trocheck
P1
57.9%
61.7%
P2
55.4%
58.8%
P3
61.5%
57.6%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |