Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 58.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 57.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Horvat
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Horvat
Trocheck
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
7
Horvat
Trocheck
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Trocheck
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
57.6% (1,061)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
65.1% (338)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
49.5% (101)
+1.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Horvat
Trocheck
Home
54.2% (714)
61.8% (735)
Away
53.6% (705)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Horvat
Trocheck
P1
53.5%
57.7%
P2
56.3%
57.9%
P3
53.5%
60.4%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | OT | 04:52 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |