Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Horvat
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Horvat
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Girgensons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Horvat
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
45.3% (128)
+9.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.0% (4)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
45.3% (75)
+6.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Horvat
Girgensons
Home
59.8% (853)
41.0% (100)
Away
53.8% (832)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Horvat
Girgensons
P1
55.0%
41.9%
P2
58.3%
53.9%
P3
57.8%
40.0%
OT
44.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |