Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 50.6%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 74.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 56.6%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Horvat
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Girgensons
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Horvat
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Horvat
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
46.3% (147)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
66.7% (3)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
51.1% (47)
+0.2%
On power play, Girgensons has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Horvat
Girgensons
Home
54.2% (714)
34.2% (79)
Away
53.6% (705)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Horvat
Girgensons
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
56.3%
38.1%
P3
53.5%
47.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |