Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Tkachuk 47.1% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 92.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Jenner
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jenner
Tkachuk
Last 7: Jenner 4-3 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Jenner
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Tkachuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
46.9% (226)
+10.4%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
42.0% (81)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
80.0% (5)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
54.8% (586)
47.6% (168)
Away
55.5% (580)
44.4% (144)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
57.3%
49.1%
P2
52.5%
42.9%
P3
55.9%
46.5%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |