Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 76.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Jenner
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Jenner
Tkachuk
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
5
Jenner
Tkachuk
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Tkachuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Jenner
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
47.5% (421)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
50.3% (336)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
12.5% (8)
+37.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
56.7% (693)
49.9% (389)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
57.1%
44.4%
P2
54.1%
51.8%
P3
53.0%
47.8%
OT
61.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |