Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 91.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 60.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Jenner
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
45.4% (183)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
53.2% (250)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
100.0% (2)
-49.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
53.2% (609)
51.1% (233)
Away
54.0% (589)
49.0% (202)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
49.7%
42.9%
P2
53.6%
52.2%
P3
56.5%
53.7%
OT
65.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |