Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Dvorak 56.0% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 53.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Jenner
Dvorak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
55.7% (714)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
61.1% (131)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
57.4% (122)
-7.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dvorak
Home
53.2% (609)
59.0% (432)
Away
54.0% (589)
54.8% (535)
By Period
Jenner
Dvorak
P1
49.7%
58.7%
P2
53.6%
53.9%
P3
56.5%
57.2%
OT
65.2%
70.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%