Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Dvorak 51.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 55.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Jenner
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jenner
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Dvorak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Jenner
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Jenner
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
52.2% (686)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
49.0% (104)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
53.5% (127)
-3.8%
On power play, Jenner has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dvorak
Home
56.7% (693)
54.1% (423)
Away
52.7% (693)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Jenner
Dvorak
P1
57.1%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
52.0%
P3
53.0%
52.4%
OT
61.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |