Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs McMichael 44.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 82.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 85.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Jenner
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
McMichael
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
McMichael
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
McMichael
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
43.1% (339)
+11.0%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
50.0% (4)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
0.0% (2)
+50.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Jenner
McMichael
Home
53.2% (609)
42.7% (178)
Away
54.0% (589)
43.1% (167)
By Period
Jenner
McMichael
P1
49.7%
40.7%
P2
53.6%
50.0%
P3
56.5%
36.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |