Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs McMichael 43.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 84.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 85.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 76.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Jenner
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
McMichael
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Jenner
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
McMichael
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
43.4% (761)
+11.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
40.7% (59)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
30.8% (52)
+15.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Jenner
McMichael
Home
52.9% (512)
42.1% (444)
Away
55.4% (601)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Jenner
McMichael
P1
55.0%
42.5%
P2
54.5%
41.9%
P3
53.6%
42.5%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |