Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Lazar 51.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Jenner
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Lazar
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Jenner
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
52.9% (242)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
100.0% (3)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
33.3% (27)
+16.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lazar
Home
56.7% (693)
57.1% (119)
Away
52.7% (693)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Jenner
Lazar
P1
57.1%
53.1%
P2
54.1%
52.2%
P3
53.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |