Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Lazar 49.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 82.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 55.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 72.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Jenner
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Jenner
Lazar
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Jenner
Lazar
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Lazar
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Lazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.2% (2,658)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
52.3% (65)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
41.9% (415)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lazar
Home
54.5% (4,051)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Jenner
Lazar
P1
53.7%
48.9%
P2
53.5%
48.9%
P3
54.4%
49.5%
OT
54.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 01:33 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |