Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 24-22 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 63.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Jenner
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
22
(46 meetings)
24
22
Jenner
Stepan
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
13
Jenner
Stepan
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
9
Jenner
Stepan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
46.5% (10,204)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
48.8% (1,593)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
44.2% (1,368)
+4.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stepan
Home
54.5% (4,051)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Jenner
Stepan
P1
53.7%
47.5%
P2
53.5%
45.6%
P3
54.4%
46.8%
OT
54.5%
40.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |