Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.3%). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Stepan 53.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Jenner
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
55.3% (358)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
0.0% (3)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
50.8% (61)
-1.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stepan
Home
56.7% (693)
57.7% (213)
Away
52.7% (693)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Jenner
Stepan
P1
57.1%
56.3%
P2
54.1%
48.9%
P3
53.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |