Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.0% vs Stepan 47.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Jenner
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jenner
Stepan
Last 8: Jenner 3-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
4
Jenner
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (129)
48.2% (1,155)
+3.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
48.2% (193)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
37.9% (174)
+3.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Jenner is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Jenner shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stepan
Home
57.3% (89)
46.4% (774)
Away
43.2% (95)
47.7% (748)
By Period
Jenner
Stepan
P1
42.9%
46.7%
P2
58.7%
46.3%
P3
46.9%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |