Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Cozens 48.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 62.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Jenner
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jenner
Cozens
Last 7: Jenner 4-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Cozens
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
3
Jenner
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.4% (859)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
49.5% (186)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
39.5% (129)
+10.2%
On power play, Jenner has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cozens
Home
56.7% (693)
49.0% (600)
Away
52.7% (693)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Jenner
Cozens
P1
57.1%
46.5%
P2
54.1%
52.9%
P3
53.0%
45.2%
OT
61.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |