Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Cozens 45.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 83.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 77.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 77.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Jenner
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jenner
Cozens
Last 8: Jenner 5-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
2
Jenner
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
46.7% (786)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
43.9% (171)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
42.3% (189)
+4.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cozens
Home
52.9% (512)
46.2% (567)
Away
55.4% (601)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Jenner
Cozens
P1
55.0%
46.5%
P2
54.5%
46.5%
P3
53.6%
44.2%
OT
52.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |