Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 67.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 70.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Jenner
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (219)
54.4% (722)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
62.2% (164)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
49.4% (83)
+6.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Jenner is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Jenner shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lindholm
Home
51.0% (143)
55.8% (541)
Away
52.2% (115)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Jenner
Lindholm
P1
53.6%
54.8%
P2
43.0%
55.7%
P3
56.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |