Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Jenner
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Jenner
Lindholm
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Jenner
Lindholm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
57.3% (944)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
61.1% (162)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
49.1% (230)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lindholm
Home
52.9% (512)
55.2% (667)
Away
55.4% (601)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Jenner
Lindholm
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
54.5%
55.5%
P3
53.6%
58.5%
OT
52.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |