Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 72.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 75.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Jenner
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
54.4% (722)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
62.2% (164)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
49.4% (83)
+3.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lindholm
Home
51.0% (143)
55.8% (541)
Away
49.2% (124)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Jenner
Lindholm
P1
51.7%
54.8%
P2
40.5%
55.7%
P3
57.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |