Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 87.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 79.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Jenner
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Malkin
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.0% (811)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
55.8% (43)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
50.0% (2)
-0.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Jenner
Malkin
Home
56.7% (693)
52.3% (438)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Jenner
Malkin
P1
57.1%
51.3%
P2
54.1%
50.8%
P3
53.0%
45.0%
OT
61.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |