Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Malkin 46.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 63.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Jenner
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Jenner
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
45.5% (602)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
50.0% (30)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
100.0% (1)
-41.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Jenner
Malkin
Home
45.7% (81)
47.5% (326)
Away
54.8% (124)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Jenner
Malkin
P1
46.6%
49.3%
P2
58.3%
44.7%
P3
50.0%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |