Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Toews 56.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 80.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 67.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Jenner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Jenner
Toews
Last 6: Jenner 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Jenner
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Jenner
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Jenner
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
56.5% (1,310)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
59.7% (325)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
51.0% (245)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Jenner
Toews
Home
54.1% (575)
56.6% (927)
Away
54.1% (582)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Jenner
Toews
P1
54.1%
56.3%
P2
53.1%
55.8%
P3
54.9%
57.3%
OT
66.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |