Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 54.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 57.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Jenner
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
61.1% (650)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
71.9% (192)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
59.6% (99)
-9.9%
On power play, Toews has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Jenner
Toews
Home
56.7% (693)
64.8% (560)
Away
52.7% (693)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Jenner
Toews
P1
57.1%
62.3%
P2
54.1%
63.9%
P3
53.0%
62.8%
OT
61.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%