Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Toews 58.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 69.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Jenner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Jenner
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
58.0% (901)
-3.9%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
69.5% (226)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
51.7% (209)
-1.4%
On power play, Toews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Jenner
Toews
Home
53.2% (609)
59.3% (637)
Away
54.0% (589)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Jenner
Toews
P1
49.7%
61.5%
P2
53.6%
55.2%
P3
56.5%
60.0%
OT
65.2%
70.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |