Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 58.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Jenner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Jenner
Bonino
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
4
Jenner
Bonino
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
8
Jenner
Bonino
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
6
Jenner
Bonino
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
54.1% (972)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.8%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bonino
Home
54.5% (4,051)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Jenner
Bonino
P1
53.7%
50.6%
P2
53.5%
48.5%
P3
54.4%
51.1%
OT
54.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |