Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Bonino 48.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 71.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 68.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Jenner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Jenner
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
48.1% (324)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
57.9% (38)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.3% (88)
+5.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bonino
Home
56.7% (693)
52.0% (244)
Away
52.7% (693)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Jenner
Bonino
P1
57.1%
48.0%
P2
54.1%
42.9%
P3
53.0%
53.9%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |