Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Jenner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Bonino
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Jenner
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Jenner
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
51.7% (777)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
60.0% (50)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
43.9% (98)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bonino
Home
53.2% (609)
48.2% (461)
Away
54.0% (589)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Jenner
Bonino
P1
49.7%
54.1%
P2
53.6%
49.7%
P3
56.5%
50.7%
OT
65.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |