Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 96.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 87.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 94.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Jenner
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Jenner
Cates
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
7
1
Jenner
Cates
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
40.4% (841)
+13.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
42.4% (66)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
32.7% (147)
+17.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cates
Home
56.7% (693)
38.2% (566)
Away
52.7% (693)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Jenner
Cates
P1
57.1%
40.5%
P2
54.1%
42.4%
P3
53.0%
35.3%
OT
61.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |