Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Cates 45.1% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 69.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 65.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 60.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Jenner
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
46.7% (912)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
33.9% (56)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
35.0% (137)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cates
Home
45.7% (81)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.8% (124)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Jenner
Cates
P1
46.6%
48.0%
P2
58.3%
42.3%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%