Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 50.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 59.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Jenner
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Jenner
Stastny
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Jenner
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stastny
Home
54.5% (4,051)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Jenner
Stastny
P1
53.7%
56.3%
P2
53.5%
55.4%
P3
54.4%
53.5%
OT
54.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |