Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Jenner
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
57.5% (412)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
60.0% (65)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.4% (9)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stastny
Home
56.7% (693)
58.3% (276)
Away
52.7% (693)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Jenner
Stastny
P1
57.1%
63.7%
P2
54.1%
57.3%
P3
53.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%