Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.9%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Jenner
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
59.2% (370)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
40.9% (44)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
51.7% (58)
-1.4%
On power play, Jenner has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stastny
Home
53.2% (609)
57.7% (215)
Away
54.0% (589)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Jenner
Stastny
P1
49.7%
57.7%
P2
53.6%
54.2%
P3
56.5%
57.7%
OT
65.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%