Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.8%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Stastny 54.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Jenner
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Jenner
Stastny
Last 9: Jenner 2-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Jenner
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Jenner
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
53.6% (859)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
59.9% (202)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
55.1% (78)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Jenner
Stastny
Home
54.8% (586)
56.9% (596)
Away
55.5% (580)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Jenner
Stastny
P1
57.3%
53.9%
P2
52.5%
56.2%
P3
55.9%
54.4%
OT
54.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |