Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 59.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 61.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Jenner
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Jenner
Thomas
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
53.6% (924)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
55.2% (181)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.0% (116)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Jenner
Thomas
Home
56.7% (693)
53.6% (606)
Away
52.7% (693)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Jenner
Thomas
P1
57.1%
48.2%
P2
54.1%
55.3%
P3
53.0%
55.2%
OT
61.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |