Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Thomas 51.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 84.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 70.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Jenner
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
13
(36 meetings)
23
13
Jenner
Thomas
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
3
Jenner
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
5
Jenner
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
5
Jenner
Thomas
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
51.1% (5,350)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
55.8% (921)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
49.9% (691)
-1.5%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Jenner
Thomas
Home
54.5% (4,051)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Jenner
Thomas
P1
53.7%
50.6%
P2
53.5%
52.9%
P3
54.4%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |