Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 88.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 75.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Jenner
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
13
(36 meetings)
23
13
Jenner
Thomas
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
3
Jenner
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
5
Jenner
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
5
Jenner
Thomas
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,289)
51.2% (5,518)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.8% (1,150)
55.9% (956)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,009)
50.1% (703)
-1.6%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,192).
Jenner shoots left. Thomas is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,075).
Home / Away
Jenner
Thomas
Home
54.5% (4,102)
51.0% (3,551)
Away
53.5% (4,346)
52.3% (3,626)
By Period
Jenner
Thomas
P1
53.6%
50.8%
P2
53.6%
52.8%
P3
54.6%
51.1%
OT
54.5%
58.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
60.0%▲
53.0%
54.0%
Thomas
48.0%▼
55.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |