Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.4%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 34-33 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jenner
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
34
(67 meetings)
33
34
Jenner
Johansen
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
12
Jenner
Johansen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
15
11
Jenner
Johansen
26 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Jenner
Johansen
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
53.1% (11,017)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
50.5% (978)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Jenner
Johansen
Home
54.5% (4,051)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Jenner
Johansen
P1
53.7%
53.2%
P2
53.5%
53.9%
P3
54.4%
52.8%
OT
54.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |