Boone Jenner vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
4
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
45.4% (527)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
41.2% (17)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.9% (138)
+4.8%
On power play, Jenner has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.7% (693)
46.1% (336)
Away
52.7% (693)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.1%
49.1%
P2
54.1%
45.3%
P3
53.0%
42.0%
OT
61.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OT | 01:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |