Boone Jenner vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
51.0% (408)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
0.0% (6)
+59.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
35.9% (78)
+10.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.9% (512)
50.8% (258)
Away
55.4% (601)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Jenner
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.0%
51.6%
P2
54.5%
45.2%
P3
53.6%
47.6%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |